Who’s Leading the Race for the 2024 Ballon d’Or? An In-Depth Power Ranking

Who's Leading the Race for the 2024 Ballon d'Or? An In-Depth Power Ranking

With the twilight of Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi’s illustrious careers, the 2024 Ballon d’Or race is wide open, signaling a pivotal shift in the football landscape. This coveted award, highlighting the best international football player of the previous season, now aligns with the regular football calendar, with the 2023/24 season’s performances playing a crucial role in deciding the winner . As the football world turns its gaze towards the next generation of stars, players from leagues across Europe, including the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, and those competing in the Champions League, are vying for this prestigious title, with the expectation set by past winners from Real Madrid and other top clubs.

The spotlight this year shines on talents like Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, and Erling Haaland, with their performances in national leagues and international tournaments set to influence the voting panel of 100 journalists. With the award ceremony scheduled for October 2024, the anticipation builds as the 30-man shortlist becomes the topic of widespread speculation and debate in the football community . This year’s race not only emphasizes individual excellence but also underlines the importance of team achievements, particularly in the Champions League, as history suggests a significant correlation with Ballon d’Or success .

Jude Bellingham

Jude Bellingham, the 20-year-old English midfielder, has rapidly ascended as a top contender for the 2024 Ballon d’Or due to his stellar performances with Real Madrid. Acquired from Borussia Dortmund for a whopping €115 million, Bellingham has seamlessly adapted to life in La Liga, showcasing a blend of technical prowess and scoring ability.

Performance Overview

  1. La Liga Impact: In the 2023/24 season, Bellingham has been a revelation in the Spanish top flight, scoring 18 goals in 26 appearances, which underscores his critical role in Real Madrid’s attack.
  2. Champions League Contributions: His influence extends to European nights, with 4 goals in 10 Champions League appearances, helping Real Madrid in their quest for another title.
  3. Versatility and Play Style: Known for his versatility, Bellingham has played across various midfield positions, contributing significantly both offensively and defensively. His ability to play as an attacking midfielder, left midfielder, and even a second striker highlights his adaptability and team-first approach.

Key Strengths and Statistics

  • Scoring and Assists: Across all competitions this season, he has scored 22 goals and provided 10 assists in 39 appearances, demonstrating his dual threat as a scorer and playmaker.
  • Defensive Skills: Bellingham also brings robust defensive skills to the midfield, often winning back possession and initiating counterattacks, which is vital for Real Madrid’s tactical setup.
  • Market Value: Reflecting his rising stock in world football, his current market value stands at an impressive €180 million.

Jude Bellingham’s rapid rise and pivotal performances for both club and country position him as a formidable candidate for the Ballon d’Or, with his ongoing development and impact at Real Madrid suggesting even greater achievements in the future.

Kylian Mbappe

Performance Overview

  1. Total Appearances and Impact: Kylian Mbappe has been a standout performer in the 2024 season, playing a total of 53 games across all competitions.
  2. Goal Scoring Prowess: Demonstrating his scoring ability, Mbappe has netted an impressive 49 goals this season, making him one of the leading goal scorers.
  3. Assist Contributions: In addition to his goal-scoring, he has provided 16 assists, showcasing his versatility and importance to his team’s offensive play.
  4. Versatility in Play: Mbappe has showcased his adaptability by playing as a striker for 55% of the total minutes, and also featuring as a left and right winger for 29% and 15% of the time, respectively.

Key Strengths and Statistics

  • Ligue 1 Performance: In the French league, he has appeared in 35 games for Paris Saint-Germain, scoring 29 goals and providing 7 assists.
  • International Duty: Representing France, he has played 10 games this season, scoring 8 goals and contributing 2 assists.

Challenges and Opportunities

  • Champions League Setback: Despite an early exit from the Champions League, his performance in the upcoming Euro 2024 could significantly bolster his chances for the Ballon d’Or, especially if he leads France to victory .
  • Disciplinary Record: His competitive nature is also reflected in his discipline, having received 7 yellow cards over the season.

Kylian Mbappe’s consistent performance, both at the club and international levels, positions him as a formidable contender for the 2024 Ballon d’Or, especially with the potential uplift from the Euro 2024.

Harry Kane

Performance Overview

  1. Season Statistics: Harry Kane has made a total of 45 appearances this season, scoring 44 goals and providing 12 assists across all competitions.
  2. Bundesliga Dominance: In the Bundesliga, he has appeared 32 times, netting 36 goals and adding 8 assists, showcasing his critical role in Bayern Munich’s attack.
  3. Champions League Performance: Kane has been pivotal in the Champions League with 12 appearances and 8 goals, significantly contributing to Bayern Munich’s campaign in the prestigious tournament.

Key Strengths and Career Highlights

  • International Impact: With 89 caps and 62 goals for England, Kane’s international experience is extensive, enhancing his leadership on the field.
  • Market Value: Reflecting his elite status, Kane’s market value is estimated at €110 million, underscoring his importance to both club and country.
  • Honours and Awards: His trophy cabinet includes three Golden Boots and a Playmaker award, alongside multiple Player of the Month honors, highlighting his consistent top-level performances.

2024 Ballon d’Or Prospects

  • Euro 2024 and Champions League: Kane’s prospects for the 2024 Ballon d’Or hinge on his performances at Euro 2024 with England and in helping Bayern Munich secure the Champions League title.
  • Historical Context: He aims to be the first Englishman to win the award since Michael Owen in 2001, potentially ending a long drought for English players in this prestigious accolade.

Personal and Professional Background

  • Age and Background: At 30 years old, from London, England, Kane’s journey from a local talent to a world-class forward is inspirational.
  • Club Loyalty and Contract: Having joined Bayern Munich in August 2023, his contract runs until June 2027, indicating a long-term commitment to his current club.

Erling Haaland

Performance Overview

  1. Premier League Dominance: Erling Haaland has shown exceptional form in the Premier League, scoring 61 goals in 63 appearances for Manchester City.
  2. Champions League Impact: In the Champions League, he has made a significant mark with 18 goals in 20 games, showcasing his prowess in European competitions.
  3. Record-Breaking Achievements: Haaland’s record-breaking spree includes being the fastest to 50 Premier League goals and scoring the most goals in a single Premier League season (36).

Key Strengths and Statistics

  • Versatility and Scoring: Haaland’s ability to play across different competitions is evident from his scoring 52 goals in all competitions in a single season, setting a new record for a Premier League player.
  • International and Club Success: Despite Norway’s absence from the Euros, Haaland’s club achievements, including winning the FIFA Club World Cup and being named UEFA Best Player in Europe, highlight his individual excellence.

Challenges and Opportunities

  • International Limitations: Haaland’s chances for the 2024 Ballon d’Or are impacted by Norway not participating in the Euros and Manchester City’s early exit from the Champions League.
  • Continued Excellence: Maintaining his high performance in domestic and international matches will be crucial for his future prospects in the Ballon d’Or rankings.

Career Achievements

  • Awards and Honors: Haaland has accumulated numerous accolades such as the Golden Boy award, multiple Player of the Year titles, and inclusion in the FIFA FIFPro World11 for three consecutive years.
  • Historical Impact: His rapid rise through clubs like Molde, Red Bull Salzburg, and Borussia Dortmund showcases a career built on consistent performance and goal-scoring ability.


Performance Overview

  1. Premier League and Champions League Achievements: Rodri has been instrumental in Manchester City’s success, contributing to their UEFA Champions League and FIFA Club World Cup victories .
  2. 2023/2024 Season Stats: Over the season, Rodri played 31 matches, amassing 2,668 minutes, scoring 7 goals, and providing 10 assists. His expected goal value per goal ranged from 0.05 to 0.23, highlighting his efficiency in front of goal.
  3. Record-Breaking Contributions: He holds records for the most effectiveness in build-up plays and progressive dribbles in the Premier League.

Key Strengths and Statistics

  • Defensive Mastery and Ball Recovery: Rodri leads the Premier League with 195 recoveries, showcasing his pivotal role in Manchester City’s defensive strategy.
  • Pressure Handling: He has been pressured 1,075 times while in possession, the highest in the league, yet maintains an impressive pass success rate of 87.3% in open-play situations.
  • Consistent Availability: Not missing a single game due to injury since November 2019, Rodri’s reliability is unmatched, contributing to his team’s consistent performance.

Challenges and Opportunities

  • Yellow Card Accumulation: Matching his highest season total, Rodri received eight yellow cards, which he needs to manage to avoid suspensions.
  • Rest and Recovery Needs: With 62% of his matches in the 2022/2023 season played back-to-back, Rodri has voiced the need for rest due to the demanding match schedule, which could impact his performance if not managed properly.

Rodri’s exceptional skills and consistent performances not only bolster Manchester City’s midfield but also position him as a strong contender for the 2024 Ballon d’Or, especially with his potential to influence high-stakes matches both domestically and internationally.

Vinicius Junior

Performance Overview

  1. Champions League and La Liga: Vinicius Junior’s significant impact in both the Champions League and La Liga has seen his odds for the 2024 Ballon d’Or increase.
  2. Memorable Goals: He scored two remarkable goals against Valencia, the first by skillfully maneuvering past Jose Fonton and the second with a clean sweep past Matas.
  3. Key Performances: His ability to perform under pressure was evident as he helped Real Madrid dominate the start of each half, proving his critical role in the team’s strategy.

Key Strengths and Statistics

  • Game-Changing Skills: Described as “unbreakable” and showing a level of performance that was a step up, Vinicius has been instrumental in pivotal moments for Real Madrid.
  • Resilience and Determination: Throughout 2024, he has demonstrated not only skill but also a strong character and resilience, often being a decisive factor in crucial games.

Challenges and Opportunities

  • Growth and Maturity: Despite his outstanding skills, there’s a sentiment that Vinicius might need to mature more to fully harness his potential and clinch the Ballon d’Or.
  • Expressive Freedom: Known for his expressive nature on and off the field, he values his freedom of speech, which he believes is integral to his identity as a player.

Career Highlights

  • First Goal of the Season: His first goal of the season was not just a score on the board; it set the tone for his year, showcasing his readiness to face challenges and overcome obstacles.
  • Strong Contender: With his consistent performance and crucial contributions, Vinicius Junior is a strong contender for the Ballon d’Or as he aims for top numbers and Champions League success.


Throughout the article, we have extensively reviewed the leading contenders for the 2024 Ballon d’Or, highlighting their extraordinary accomplishments and unique strengths. From Jude Bellingham’s remarkable adaptation and success in La Liga to Kylian Mbappe’s goal-scoring prowess, Harry Kane’s Bundesliga dominance, Erling Haaland’s Premier League breakthroughs, Rodri’s midfield mastery, and Vinicius Junior’s significant impacts in crucial matches, each player demonstrates qualities that make them worthy of this prestigious award. Their performances not only accentuate their individual talents but also their pivotal roles in guiding their respective teams to success, illuminating the intricate interplay between personal excellence and collective achievement in football’s highest echelons.

The discussion sheds light on the broader implications of these athletes’ careers, underscoring the dynamic nature of the race for the Ballon d’Or as it transitions into a new era marked by the emergence of fresh talents. As the football community anticipates the award ceremony, the importance of the Champions League performances, along with the potential influence of international tournaments like Euro 2024, are poised to play decisive roles in determining the winner. While this analysis concludes our exploration of the candidates and their prolific achievements to date, it also underscores the fluidity and unpredictability of football, suggesting that the journey to the Ballon d’Or is as compelling as the eventual crowning of the world’s best player.

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