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Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid: Preview and Prediction

Borussia Dortmund will be aiming to overturn a 2-1 deficit from the first leg when they host Spanish giants Atlético Madrid in the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie. The first leg saw the two teams’ head-to-head record level out at three wins, one draw, and three defeats apiece, and after bouncing back with a sixth victory in eight competitive games this weekend, Dortmund will be hoping to turn the tide in this encounter.

While the Germans cannot boast the best record against Spanish teams (11 wins, 12 draws, 14 defeats), eight of those eleven wins have come on home soil (8 wins, 7 draws, 3 defeats). Perhaps a psychological hurdle for Dortmund is the fact that they have been eliminated in their last five Champions League quarter-final appearances. However, the more than respectable tally of eight qualifications from 18 instances where Dortmund have lost the away first leg in European competition suggests that the German club has the capability to do so.

Atlético, meanwhile, solidified their top-four La Liga ambitions with a 3-1 win over Girona at the weekend and made it three wins on the bounce. Long-serving manager Diego Simeone has led Atlético to three Champions League semi-finals but not since 2016/17. And a further qualification at this stage of the competition would mean that only Sir Alex Ferguson would have reached more semi-finals with the same club during his career.

A dismal record of seven defeats in their last ten trips to Germany (2 wins, 1 draw, 7 defeats) may raise some alarm bells ahead of this match. Especially with four of those defeats coming in their last four away trips, all under Simeone’s management. The attack will need to be firing on all cylinders if they are not to suffer a similar fate as they have managed just one clean sheet in their last 16 away matches, including three in the Champions League (1 win, 1 draw, 1 defeat).

Players to Watch: After picking up a red card at the weekend, Karim Adeyemi will have the chance to help his side before his domestic suspension kicks in. The young Dortmund player’s last four goals were his team’s first. Antoine Griezmann will likely carry Atlético’s attacking hopes in the absence of Depay and Lino. He heads to Germany on the back of a brace in La Liga at the weekend and has also scored against Dortmund in the colors of both FC Barcelona and Atlético.

Stat Pack: Dortmund are unbeaten in nine consecutive home Champions League games (5 wins, 4 draws). This is their longest such run in their history.

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