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Augsburg vs. Union Berlin: Preview and Prediction

Augsburg: Despite a two-match winless run in the Bundesliga following their 3-1 defeat at Hoffenheim last weekend (1 draw, 1 loss), Augsburg remains the fifth-best performing team in the second half of the season (5 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). Sitting in seventh place, six points behind sixth, they are unlikely to climb any higher in the standings, but they should not be ruled out. With 20 points gained after going behind in league matches – the highest tally of the season, they are not ready to give up.

Undefeated in their last four home matches (2 wins, 2 draws), the hosts have a solid overall home record (5 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses), having only lost to league leaders Leverkusen and defending champions Bayern at the WWK Arena in 2024. The 1-1 draw in their last home game against relegation-threatened Cologne shows that they can be vulnerable, but having lost only once at home this season against a team from the current relegation zone, they will be hoping that it was just a blip.

Union Berlin: Like their hosts, Union Berlin is also without a win in two matches (1 draw, 1 loss), going down 1-0 to Leverkusen last weekend, meaning they have failed to score in four of their last five league matches. Union is now on a 15-match goalless streak, which is a league record this season, but their lack of firepower hasn’t been too detrimental, as with eight wins in 13 matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and two clean sheets, Union has a six-point cushion above the relegation zone.

In 2024, the team has been impressive on the road, helping them move away from the relegation zone (1 win, 3 draws, 3 losses), although Union has only scored two goals in those seven outings! The historical record of this encounter suggests that it will be difficult to do better away from home, as Union has not won in seven trips here (3 draws, 4 losses) and has lost its last three matches at this venue.

Key Players to Watch:

Phillip Tietz: Since joining Augsburg this summer, Phillip Tietz has been involved in 11 Bundesliga goals (7 goals, 4 assists), providing an assist on his team’s last goal in the only defeat he has contributed to (5 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss).

Brenden Aaronson: Union’s last goal was scored by Brenden Aaronson, who was also the scorer in their last away win.

Hot Stat: Both teams have scored in only three of Union’s last 15 Bundesliga matches.

Prediction:

This is a tough match to call, with both teams in similar form. Augsburg’s home record suggests they have a slight edge, but Union’s away form has been improving. A draw could be on the cards.

Additional Notes:

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