Augsburg snatched a 1-1 draw at Bochum last Saturday, scoring a late penalty for the second Bundesliga match in a row (1W, 1D). As a result, the club has won only one of its last seven league games (2D, 4L), a run that could soon see them glancing nervously at the bottom three. But with a seven-point cushion, there’s no need to panic just yet.
That’s partly because this is the fourth consecutive season in which the “Fuggerstädter” have collected between 19 and 22 points after 20 matches, and they survived on all three previous occasions. A small majority (13 – 3W, 4D, 3L) of their 22 points have been earned at home, which suggests their winless streak against RB Leipzig since September 2017 could well continue, especially as they haven’t won in their last seven clashes here (3D, 4L).
That will be music to the ears of RB Leipzig, who beat Union Berlin 2-0 last weekend to stay in touch with the top four. Their first win of the calendar year was much-needed after three consecutive league defeats, and it eased the pressure on manager Marco Rose, who reached the 70-game mark in charge with what he called a “deserved and important victory.”
It was also their first clean sheet since the beginning of November, and another would be valuable here given they’ve conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last five away league matches (1W, 1D, 3L). Rose will be keen to make a fast start to improve that record, as his team is unbeaten when scoring first away from home this season (4W, 1D).
Players to watch: Phillip Tietz has been a lucky charm for Augsburg since his arrival in July. The club is unbeaten when he scores this season (3W, 1D), and three of his four goals have been scored before the 30th minute. Like Tietz, Xavi Simons joined Leipzig in July 2023, and his last three goals have all been scored between the fifth and tenth minutes!
Hot stat: Augsburg has only led at half-time four times this season in the Bundesliga, but they are unbeaten when they have done so (3W, 1D).